Be Brave When Others are Afraid and Be Afraid When Others are Overconfident The market, especially the junior commodities companies, have been devastated recently. Stocks have fallen since the second week of March 2012 and the drops in trading price have been dramatic. Some stocks have fallen far more than 50% in value. Liquidation Events… Continue reading Be Brave When Others are Afraid and Be Afraid When Others are Overconfident
Tag: economic cycles
Stubborn Beliefs That Devastate Portfolios
Stubborn Beliefs That Devastate Portfolios Having heard so many diverse opinions at the NY Hard Asset Show, it occurs to me that there are some supposed “universal truths” held by investors that could affect investments. The issue is that the market over-reacts to expected events, and then over-compensates. Often, by the time investors have positioned… Continue reading Stubborn Beliefs That Devastate Portfolios
Gold – Catching a Falling Knife Can Cut You Badly – New York Hard Asset Show
I recently attended the New York Hard Asset Show, which was quite interesting. There were many speakers and the viewpoints were quite divergent. The main theme was either a) all currencies were valueless because of printing money, of b) the USA is pulling out of the recession slowly and leave things be. An Analysis of… Continue reading Gold – Catching a Falling Knife Can Cut You Badly – New York Hard Asset Show
Sell in May & Go Away – How the Wisdom of the Ages is Time Sensitive
May 2, 2013 Sell in May and Go Away A tried and true investing maxim is “sell in May and go away.” Loosely translated, this means that in most years, the stock market has a seasonality to it that is quite reliable in predicting the rise and fall of the market. Essentially history has taught… Continue reading Sell in May & Go Away – How the Wisdom of the Ages is Time Sensitive
China & the World Economy – The End Of “Cheap” China
Firstly let me apologize to my readers for the slight absence in publishing. China and the World Economy Have you noticed that figures coming out of China show a trend that varies with conventional wisdom. Inflation in China is a force that the Chinese government mentions and tries to combat. You don’t hear about that… Continue reading China & the World Economy – The End Of “Cheap” China
Caterpillar Cat Construction Equipment Sales in China Fade & The Price of Gold
Caterpillar Earnings Report April 12, 2012 Wall Street Journal Business Report 3:12 PM March sales of construction excavators in China look ugly, plunging 47% Y//Y to 23.3K units, with Caterpillar (CAT) sales off 51%. The numbers may not bode well for CAT Q1 earnings (report date 4/25), or the DJIA, over which the stock has… Continue reading Caterpillar Cat Construction Equipment Sales in China Fade & The Price of Gold