Be Brave When Others are Afraid and Be Afraid When Others are Overconfident
Be Brave When Others are Afraid and Be Afraid When Others are Overconfident The market, especially the junior commodities companies, have been devastated recently. Stocks have fallen since the second week of March 2012 and the drops in trading price have been dramatic. Some stocks have fallen far more than 50% in value. Liquidation Events [...]
Sell in May & Go Away – How the Wisdom of the Ages is Time Sensitive
May 2, 2013 Sell in May and Go Away A tried and true investing maxim is “sell in May and go away.” Loosely translated, this means that in most years, the stock market has a seasonality to it that is quite reliable in predicting the rise and fall of the market. Essentially history has taught [...]
China & the World Economy – The End Of “Cheap” China
Firstly let me apologize to my readers for the slight absence in publishing. China and the World Economy Have you noticed that figures coming out of China show a trend that varies with conventional wisdom. Inflation in China is a force that the Chinese government mentions and tries to combat. You don’t hear about that [...]
Silver Thurs – March 27/80 Infamous “Silverfinger”: Nelson Bunker Hunt, Gets Smacked FInancially
March 27, 1980 _ Silver Markets Tumble The anniversary – 32 years ago – of when infamous Bunky Hunt, the Oil Baron of Texas, came to the end of his efforts to corner the silver market. The price of silver fell 10% in a single day, which was cause for World Wide Headlines in 1980. [...]
The US Economy is Showing Strong Signs of Recovery
We Point Out the Obvious – The Next Economic Cycle is Starting We have repeatedly advised readers to look at the history of economic cycles since the dawn of the industrial revolution. There have been repeated cycles that all mirror each other, and as long as we are around, these cycles will continue. A Brief [...]
You Can’t Solve a Debt Crisis with More Debt – or Can You?
How to Deal With Overwhelming Debt We have written a number of times of how Canada solved it’s debt crisis which it incurred through successive Liberal Party excesses. It simply adjusted its spending so that the increase in expenditures continued, but at a lessor rate. Then as the US and Japan, and then Korea and [...]
Political Correctness – Dealing with the Barney Frank’s of Finance (Cont’d)
Continued from Blogs of January 26 & 29, 2012 Dealing with the debt problem means firstly understanding the economic powerhouse that is the USA. The US $ remains the world’s currency and is accepted universally. Fixing the US $ is PRIORITY #1. In the previous blogs, we discussed – Bringing government expenditures under control – [...]
Dealing With the Debt Problem – The US$ Remains the World’s Currency – Some Simple Steps
How to Deal with the Debt Problem Dealing with the debt problem means firstly understanding the economic powerhouse that is the USA. The US$ remains the world’s currency and is accepted universally. Other currencies float in relation to the US$. Stability and a return to currencies floating within expected ranges vis-a-vis the US$, brings a [...]
The Attractiveness of Gold Investments & Analysts’ Projections
The Attractiveness of Gold In a recent blog, I suggested that patience and technical indicators were key in buying gold. I suggested that the moment had not yet arrived to make this investment again. This week there were announcements from Bankers in parts of the world that they were adding to their gold purchases. Bankers [...]
China’s Surprising Level of Debt
In our last two blogs, we described the truly amazing amount of capital infrastructure construction going on in China, and we described how this amazing feat is being financed – by Special Investment Corporations – whose debts are really the debts of individual local governments, but those debts don’t get recorded anywhere. So what we [...]
Capitalism Needs Tweaking – Point #8 of 10 – Understanding ‘internal oversight’ as compared to ‘external auditors’
In my blog of December 9, 2010, I pointed out how our capitalist society suffers from dramatic up and down cycles that rob the middle class of their wealth and earnings. I suggested 10 points that would very much moderate these cycles and bring about a far better capitalist society. This is the 8th of [...]
Are we Heading for a Downturn – A Contrarian View
A reader took issue with my optimistic view of the current world economy. Essentially my view is that we are in a long but sustaining recovery, that will continue despite bumps in the road. A Contrarian View The reader’s view was that what we are seeing was the effects of the massive injection of government [...]
Commodities Are Still the Place to Be
The News is Generally Negative One reads much in the financial news currently about the global slowdown, about the European Debt Crisis, about inflation in China, about Japan’s difficulties, and so much more bad news. One has to wonder why the stock market has shown such strength since March 2009. Is this the first time [...]
Capitalism Needs Tweaking–Point #7 of 10 Self Insurance & Investor Safety
Will America Recover? Of Course ! I have long maintained that the inherent strengths of American and Western societies would prevail in the long run, and that we are currently in the trough leading to the next big wave of prosperity. The rights of property law, the basic belief in the freedom of the individual, [...]
Silver is HOT, The World Looks a bit Rocky.
Maybe it’s time to Consider Some Safety. We have talked often about where we believe the next wave of wealth is coming from. It is resources, precious metals, base metals, commodities, food, rare earths and so on. It is different way of thought than the tried and true. Historically Safe Investments Historically people moved to [...]
Some Thoughts on How to Make the Stock Market Fairer
We begin with a famous Quote from George Bernard Shaw. “If all the economists were laid end to end, they’d never reach a conclusion.” Gratitude to those Following This Blog I am grateful that you take the time and effort to read these writings. I am grateful for the input that you give. How to [...]
Capitalism Needs Tweaking – Point #6 of 10 – The duty on leaving the private (or public) sector for the other.
In my blog of December 9, 2010, I pointed out how our capitalist society suffers from dramatic up and down cycles that rob the middle class of their wealth and earnings. I suggested 10 points that would very much moderate these cycles and bring about a far better capitalist society. This is the 6th of [...]
We are at the Beginning of the Next Economic Boom
We have written about this subject often. Perhaps it is time to start our new season by stating the obvious. The economy goes in waves – waves of prosperity, created by a new technology, or new advance, or some realization. Who Participates and Who Does Not This new cycle then gains momentum and strength. Those [...]
Capitalism Needs Tweaking – Point #5 of 10 – The Four Pillars of the Financial System
In my blog of December 9, 2010, I pointed out how our capitalist society suffers from dramatic up and down cycles that rob the middle class of their wealth and earnings. I suggested 10 points that would very much moderate these cycles and bring about a far better capitalist society. This is the 5th of [...]
Investing in Commodities & The China Effect
Prosperity Runs in Cycles – which are predictable in their occurrence, yet unpredictable in their cause or length The economic world is a strange historical combination of repetition of i) prosperity cycles, – combined with ii) technological advancement. Those that say history always repeats itself are correct – to some extent. We have always had [...]
FUND ELECTIONS OUT OF THE PUBLIC PURSE.
The Remarkable Story of China & the Negative Effect of Democracy So much has been written about China that everyone is aware of this economic miracle. There is a lot to be said about a central economy that considers economic growth to be important. The largest reason for this economic growth, is the planning and [...]
Invest in Safe Jurisdictions – Measure Risk
Length of Cymor Blogs Comments have been made that our blogs are a bit too long and that readers lose interest because of their length. We will attempt a shorter version for a while. We appreciate comments on this matter. Safe Jurisdictions One of the basic tenets of the investing policies of the CymorFund is [...]
Investing Insights
Important Themes from My 2010 Blog Firstly I wish to thank the readers for taking the time in this busy world to read this blog. I started writing in June 2010 with the thought that people buy an inexpensive household item only after comparison shopping and due consideration, yet people invest their life savings by [...]
The Recovery Continues – North American and European societies are simply too strong to lay dormant
We have often commented that the economy is gradually recovering. The North American and European societies are simply too strong to lay dormant. There will be a lot of bumps in the road, and a lot of bad news along the way, but gradually and surely, this cycle will become a memory, just like every [...]
Make the Capitalist System Work – It can be the Best System
My Checklist – Following my Blog of Dec 9/10 Capitalism is the ability of the private sector to raise money and invest that money in the private sector. One must differentiate between the good and the difficult parts of our system. The good must be recognized and honored. The bad must be addressed. As civilization [...]
