Category Trends, Momentum & Market Cycles
The US Debate over Quantitative Easing We have an interesting debate going on in the US Presidential campaign. On one side are people claiming that government handouts are ruining America and the government must immediately stop incurring debt, and go to a balanced budget. On the other other side are people claiming that the economy...
The Negative Daily News Daily we are bombarded with news of European Debt Crises, of China Slowdowns, of USA housing and job numbers. Everything seems so negative. Yet when one takes a larger view of what is happening around us, it is obvious that the next cycle is starting, and we are pulling out of...
As an observer of the current USA Presidential election, while listening to the rhetoric from the Democratic and Republican camps, certain encompassing observations are inescapable. The Move Towards the Center The rhetoric of the Tea Party has moved the Republicans to the right – seemingly. In fact a fiscal ‘conservative’, U.S. Congressman Paul Ryan, has...
An Overview of the Markets Investors today feel that they have been burnt as their stock portfolios have performed poorly. Each day they are bombarded with negative news from Syria where fighting continues, from Europe where the ever increasing debt crisis never seems to reach resolution, from Japan where debt levels continue to rise as...
A Liquidity Event Used to Mean Going Public A liquidity event used to have a very different meaning. In recent history there have been long stretches of time when the stock market moved modestly up or down. To ‘go public’ and become a Listed Issuer was an event. It was referred to as a liquidity...
Canadian Oil Sands Prices as an Indicator In recent months there has been an anomaly between world oil prices and the price of oil coming out of the Canadian Oil Sands. Because of transportation issues Canadian heavy oil has been receiving less value than the world price of oil. They say that this is a...
Lawrence Cyna: Look for value in a depressed market Lawrence Cyna, CEO and Fund Manager of Cymor Strategic Growth Funds www.cymorfund.com , doesn’t lose any sleep over the current state of the markets. He takes it all in stride because he’s seen it before and knows he will likely see it again. In this exclusive...
In my last two blogs, I discussed how the world was not coming to an end. I discussed how the stock market reacts by moving to the extreme up or the extreme down, depending on the current mood. I discussed how the supposedly incomprehensible debt could be dealt with, and I gave the example of...
The Stock Markets Compared to 2008 We are in a sustained downtrend for junior commodity stocks. Some juniors have lost 50% of value and some have lost 80% of value. The Wall of Worry continues and this fear that pervades is driving stock prices lower. Many are comparing the current period to the dramatic falls...
Stubborn Beliefs That Devastate Portfolios Having heard so many diverse opinions at the NY Hard Asset Show, it occurs to me that there are some supposed “universal truths” held by investors that could affect investments. The issue is that the market over-reacts to expected events, and then over-compensates. Often, by the time investors have positioned...