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“USA is perfecting the formula for budget failure” – Some SImple Math

A Realization of Reality in the USA I reprint parts of a speech by a US Democratic Senator as it illustrates just how bad the deficit and debt can grow. We sometimes ridicule the Republican Party in the USA for being totally obstructionist. Yet when one realizes the scope of the problem, sometimes it is...

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Listening Rather Than Impressing Is A Valuable Attribute.

Human Emotions Usually Supersede Rational Thought Listening to The With Whom We Interact Human emotions usually supersede rational thought. This is normal and natural. In most conversations and interactions between humans, the basic need to impress others with our intelligence or with our wit, supersedes other emotions. Our basic tendency is carry our part of...

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Be Brave When Others are Afraid and Be Afraid When Others are Overconfident

Be Brave When Others are Afraid and Be Afraid When Others are Overconfident The market, especially the junior commodities companies, have been devastated recently. Stocks have fallen since the second week of March 2012 and the drops in trading price have been dramatic. Some stocks have fallen far more than 50% in value. Liquidation Events...

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Gold – Catching a Falling Knife Can Cut You Badly – New York Hard Asset Show

I recently attended the New York Hard Asset Show, which was quite interesting. There were many speakers and the viewpoints were quite divergent. The main theme was either a) all currencies were valueless because of printing money, of b) the USA is pulling out of the recession slowly and leave things be. An Analysis of...

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China & the World Economy – The End Of “Cheap” China

Firstly let me apologize to my readers for the slight absence in publishing. China and the World Economy Have you noticed that figures coming out of China show a trend that varies with conventional wisdom. Inflation in China is a force that the Chinese government mentions and tries to combat. You don’t hear about that...

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Caterpillar Cat Construction Equipment Sales in China Fade & The Price of Gold

Caterpillar Earnings Report April 12, 2012 Wall Street Journal Business Report 3:12 PM March sales of construction excavators in China look ugly, plunging 47% Y//Y to 23.3K units, with Caterpillar (CAT) sales off 51%. The numbers may not bode well for CAT Q1 earnings (report date 4/25), or the DJIA, over which the stock has...

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What The Average Investor Should Look For – Patterns and Trends & The Height of Folly

The Market Moves in Swings and Cycles That No-one has yet Figured Out When someone figures out what the future price of the stock market will be, it will a momentous day. Until them, I urge the investor to use the tried and true methods, which I describe hereafter. First, on a regular and repeating...

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Silver Thurs – March 27/80 Infamous “Silverfinger”: Nelson Bunker Hunt, Gets Smacked FInancially

March 27, 1980 _ Silver Markets Tumble The anniversary – 32 years ago – of when infamous Bunky Hunt, the Oil Baron of Texas, came to the end of his efforts to corner the silver market. The price of silver fell 10% in a single day, which was cause for World Wide Headlines in 1980....

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A Hindsight View of Opinions Expressed in this Blog

Weakness in China Someone sent a note to me about China, in which they pointed out current weakness in China, fear of housing deflation, and some other weaknesses. They then complimented me on publishing Blogs long ago on the coming troubles in China, on the massive undisclosed debts of state-owned enterprises, and the inefficiencies in...

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The European Debt Crisis – An Understanding of Common Currencies & Common Control

The European Debt Crisis We have an interesting scenario unfolding in Europe. In order to understand the situation there, one must understand political speak. Political speak is bowing to the demands of vocal parts of the voting population, while at the same time pursuing economic goals and controls that are consistent with the needs of...

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