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Most investors are looking for the stock or investment that will show a large increase in value. That is perfectly reasonable, as long as those attempts are viewed in context of an investor’s entire portfolio. A reasonable portion, such as 10% of a portfolio, can usually be regarded as ‘risk’ capital. The essence of making...
How Investors Buy Hype Rather Than Reality As each new hot stock goes to market, there is a rush of investors scrambling to buy IPO stock at the offering. The calls to brokers from their clients asking for an allotment rises and the brokers scramble to get an allotment themselves in order to fill the...
Market Darlings That Disappoint There is a lot of talk currently about Apple Computers whose shares reached an astonishing $644 in April 2012. Today they trade at $585 which is a 9% drop in value. It is reminiscent somewhat of the painful share performance of Research in Motion (RIMM) which reached an equally astonishing $148...
Investors Are Being Advised to Invest in Bonds or Dividends It is interesting how history repeats itself, yet few seem to understand this. Our economic world revolves in cycles, and each cycle is remarkably similar to the ones before and to the cycles that will be experienced in the future. As we near the bottom...
The Efficient Market Theory There is a long held belief that the stock market is the fore-teller of all that will happen. Somehow it is believed that the market can see into the future, and the rises or falls in the market foretell what will happen with some accuracy. Believers, which includes most people, ignore...
Cheap Energy and Higher Productivity In our June 27, 2012 Blog, we discussed how abundant newly recoverable supplies of shale gas, increased reserves in the ground in North America, and the retreat of the ice cap, would all contribute to a permanent lessening of energy prices. We further commented that lower energy prices would produce...
In my Blog of June 30, 2012, www.cymorfund.com I discussed how there is greater Political Risk in certain jurisdictions than others. I suggested that when considering investing in companies, one should give a higher value to companies operating in “Safe Jurisdictions”. Portfolio Composition Today, I mention some examples of why I consider Jurisdiction Risk and...
Scary Stories from South America Cymorfund www.cymorfund.com has long advocated a policy for investors of avoiding political risk. The investment community often uses the same metrics to value the shares of exploration and production of resources companies in different parts of the world. This is so very wrong, yet it continues. Why Safety from Political...
Urgent News to Gain our Attention We www.cymorfund.com are smitten daily with instant news from around the world. This overload of information colors our understanding of events occurring around us and makes the seeming urgency of today’s news distort our understanding of longer term trends. Whether Greece will leave the EU, or whether Japan has...
In our last Bl9og, we talked about the current downturn in the market and the ever climbing Wall of Worry. We referred to the never-ending economic cycles that have always existing and always will exist. They mirror the fluctuations in human emotions, which range from higher highs to lower lows, always exceeding in either direction...